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The cost of medicare is rising

Why the Government Is Zeroing In on Specialist Fees

Most Australians pay the Medicare Levy without thinking too much about what it actually funds. The assumption is that the 2% levy covers the cost of Medicare itself. In reality, it covers a very small proportion — often less than 20% — of what the Commonwealth spends on our universal health system each year.

That gap between revenue and expenses is now driving a renewed push by Canberra to scrutinise specialist fees and the financial structure of the Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS).

A Universal Health System Funded Mostly From General Revenue

Medicare’s annual cost has risen into the tens of billions, fuelled by:

  • An ageing population

  • Rising rates of chronic disease

  • More complex and technology-driven care

  • Higher utilisation of specialist services

Meanwhile, the Medicare Levy raises only a fraction of what is needed. The difference is made up from general taxation, meaning Medicare competes directly with schools, defence, NDIS outlays, aged care, and infrastructure for federal budget dollars.

Treasury has been warning for years that the levy does not — and realistically cannot — keep pace with modern health costs.

Specialist Fees: The New Focal Point for Budget Repair

Against this backdrop, specialist fees have become one of the few politically viable areas for cost containment.

1. Out-of-pocket costs are rising faster than wages

Procedures with high gap fees have become routine. Voters are increasingly angry about inconsistent bills and unexpected charges — pressure governments cannot ignore.

2. MBS rebates are outdated

Decades of limited indexation mean that the official Schedule Fee bears little resemblance to the true cost structure of specialist practices. Specialists lift their private fees to compensate, widening budget exposure for the Commonwealth.

3. The government is paying for volume growth it cannot control

Higher utilisation, especially in imaging, orthopaedics, obstetrics, and oncology, means the Commonwealth’s share of specialist costs rises automatically every year — regardless of levy revenue.

4. Politically, specialists are easier to target than hospitals or GPs

Hospitals are state-run and under strain. GPs are in shortage. Specialists, especially in metropolitan areas, represent a minority group with less political sensitivity — making them a logical reform target.

The Policy Tools Likely To Be Pulled in 2026

The government’s health advisers have been circling several levers:

  • Mandatory fee transparency platforms

  • Stronger reporting of high-fee outliers

  • Reforms to MBS indexation to reduce the rebate–cost mismatch

  • Incentives for “no-gap” or “known-gap” billing arrangements

None of these alone will fix the structural imbalance, but all signal the same reality: Medicare is getting more expensive, and the levy is nowhere near sufficient to cover it.

A System Under Strain — and an Inevitable Debate

The political debate in 2026 will be less about ideology and more about arithmetic. Health spending is growing at a rate the budget cannot sustain. Unless the levy is increased — a move neither major party currently supports — the Commonwealth will have to recover costs somewhere.

That makes specialist fees, MBS reform, and billing transparency the new frontline in the fight to stabilise Medicare’s finances.

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